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National Team Rankings - 10/17 Girls - XC - DyeStat

Published by
DyeStat.com   Oct 17th 2014, 7:06pm
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F-M draws near but Great Oak holds on to No. 1

by Rob Monroe

 


 

 

Girls Top 40, Oct 17

 

1. Great Oak CA (1): 1st Clovis CA; Idle; 1st Nike Pre-Nats OR

 
2. Fayetteville-Manlius NY (7): 1st Manhattan NY; Idle; 2nd McQuaid NY

 
3. Carmel IN (2): 1st Noblesville Sectional IN; Idle; 1st Metro Conference IN

 
4. Saugus CA (4): Idle; 1st Staub Barnes CA; 1st Roy Griak MN


5. Desert Vista AZ (3): Idle; 1st Desert Twilight AZ; 2nd Nike Pre-Nats OR


6. Davis UT (5): 1st Region I UT; Idle; 1st Bob Firman ID


7. Blacksburg VA (6): 1st Metro Championships VA; 1st Great American NC; Idle


8. La Salle Academy RI (NR): 2nd Manhattan NY; 2nd Great American NC; Idle


9. Coe-Brown NH (NR): 1st Wickham Park CT; Idle; 1st Manchester NH


10. Glenbard West IL (26): Idle; Wheaton North IL; Idle


11. Birmingham Seaholm MI (10): 1st Waterford Mott MI; 1st Oakland Co. MI; 1st Jackson MI


12. American Fork UT (17): 1st Region IV UT; Idle; 2nd Bob Firman ID


13. Avon IN (9): 1st South Putnam Sectional IN; 1st Hoosier Crossroads Conf. IN; 1st FlashRock IN


14. Hinsdale Central IL (11): Idle; 1st St. Charles North IL; 2nd FlashRock IN


15. Buchanan CA (12): 11th Clovis CA; Idle; 2nd Mt. Whitney CA


16. Tolland CT (25): 2nd Wickham Park CT; Idle; 1st Ocean State RI


17. Elmira District NY (15): 1st Bob Greene NY; Idle; 1st McQuaid NY


18. Lake Braddock Secondary VA (NR): 1st Disney FL; Idle; DCXC DC


19. Simi Valley CA (18): 3rd Clovis CA; Idle; Idle


20. Davis Sr. CA (13): 4th Clovis CA; Idle; 1st Stanford CA


21. Cardinal Gibbons NC (NR): 1st NC Runners Elite NC; 1st Hagan Stone NC; Idle


22. Monarch CO (8): Idle; 1st Pat Amato CO; Idle


23. Capistrano Valley CA (16): Idle; Idle; Dana Hills CA


24. Pennsbury PA (NR): Idle; 1st Paul Short PA; Idle


25. Cardinal O'Hara PA (NR): 1st DELCO Champs PA; 2nd Paul Short PA; DCXC DC


26. Summit OR (23): 2nd George Fox OR; 1st Oxford OR; 4th Nike Pre-Nationals OR


27. Naperville North IL (35): 1st Naperville Twilight IL; Idle; 3rd Roy Griak MN


28. Arroyo Grande CA (34): 2nd Clovis CA; Idle; 7th Nike Pre-Nats OR


29. Shenendehowa NY (30): 3rd Manhattan NY; Idle; 3rd McQuaid NY


30. Unionville PA (39): 1st Ches-Mont PA; 1st WC Henderson PA; Idle


31. Redondo Union CA (20): 13th Clovis CA; Central Park CA; 6th Nike Pre-Nats OR


32. Bella Vista CA (29): 2nd Crystal Springs CA; Idle; 2nd Stanford CA


33. Camas WA (19): 1st George Fox OR; 1st Harrier Classic OR; 8th Nike Pre-Nats OR


34. Palatine IL (38): 1st Metamora IL; Idle; 1st Palatine IL


35. Xavier College Preparatory AZ (NR): Idle; 2nd Desert Twilight AZ; 2nd Doug Conley AZ


36. Green Hope NC (NR): Idle; 3rd Great American NC; DCXC DC


37. Morristown West TN (NR): 1st Trailblazer TN; 1st Jesse Owens AL; 1st Bristol TN


38. Riverside SC (NR): 2nd Disney FL; 1st Wendy's NC; Idle


39. Yorkville IL (NR): Idle; Wheaton North IL; 2nd Palatine IL


40. Saratoga Springs NY (14): Idle; 4th Great American NC; 1st Queensbury NY

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4 comment(s)
DougB
Alexa was was at the George Fox meet last weekend. She ran a workout and then watched her friends from Camas. She obviously still has strong tie to those girls, and is friends with them, but she does not regret her decision to turn pro. I had the same question. But really, she's at peace with moving on.
watchout

DontStopPre, on , said:

How surprising is Camas' success? And how good would they be with Efraimson (rhetorical question ... unless you've already figured it out)? I wonder if Efraimson has any regrets quitting her HS team (again rhetorical ... obviously she figured quitting was the best for her individual success but as it's often said, "high school sports is a memory that lasts a lifetime". Especially when the team is nationally ranked!


Going into the season, before I knew for sure whether Efraimson was going to go pro immediately or maybe wait until track season, I thought that Camas had a real chance to be the far-and-away NW#1 and a bonafide US Top 10 team with a good chance at a trophy finish. I knew they had some good freshmen coming in, but didn't know that they would all pan out (as eighth graders Jenkins ran 2:25.3/5:16.1 last year in track and 8:58 at the 1.5 mile Harmony Sports Complex - the GSHL middle school XC championship course, Wilson ran 2:23.89/5:19.1 and 8:58 as well, and Merritt 5:25.8 but only 9:17 in XC ... for comparison, Efraimson ran 8:44 but more telling is that Alexis Fuller ran 8:38). Keep in mind, though, that Efraimson isn't the only one Camas lost - their #3 returner, Marley LeFore, also didn't turn out this year. So the varsity team they have actually been running with is really what would have been their #2 and #4-9.

Camas should be even better next year, especially if LeFore returns: they graduate Pudlitzke, but an eighth grader at Skyridge MS (Efraimson's former MS) has already broken the course record by 22 seconds, running 8:16 last week! I understand at least one other Camas girl is training under Hickey right now, not sure if it is that 8th grader, LeFore or one of this year's freshmen...

In better review of how close they are to what I expected... I figured they would be a little behind Desert Vista even with LeFore and Efraimson on the team. If you look at the NPN results and give "average" races for their two runners that had significantly off days (Merritt and Woodson), and plus Efraimson in at #1, they score about 100 points (14 points ahead of what DV actually scored, though they didn't run a perfect race either and it would have been close). But add in LeFore and all of the sudden Camas would be up with Great Oak, the US#1 team.

So, yes, I expected Camas to be very good this year had everyone ran, however their freshmen have been even better than I thought they would be. Because of the early success of their freshmen, they would have been serious NXN Title contenders rather than the US Top-10 and probable Trophy contenders I had expected them to be. They aren't the biggest surprise in the NW for me, though - Issaquah wasn't even on my radar pre-season, but their freshmen crew have made them instantly competitive for the 4A State title and a shot at NXN.
DontStopPre
How surprising is Camas' success? And how good would they be with Efraimson (rhetorical question ... unless you've already figured it out)? I wonder if Efraimson has any regrets quitting her HS team (again rhetorical ... obviously she figured quitting was the best for her individual success but as it's often said, "high school sports is a memory that lasts a lifetime". Especially when the team is nationally ranked!
watchout
Girls Teams on the Bubble:
(alphabetical order by region)

California (3): Campolindo, Palos Verdes, Serrano
Heartland (1): Willmar MN
Midwest (1): Minooka IL
New York (1): Corning
Northeast (0)
Northwest (3): Bozeman MT, Issaquah WA, Sunset OR
South (1): Lewisville Marcus TX
Southeast (1): Walter Johnson MD
Southwest (1): Rio Rancho NM

How far off the national rankings are they? Well, let's just say that the back end of the top 40 would be projected to score around 280-285 at a meet like NXN in previous years (on a good day), while the teams on the bubble would be projected to score under 310.
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